One Health Poultry Hub researchers in the Evolutionary Ecology of Infectious Disease group at University of Oxford have been using modelling to explore aspects of the COVID-19  pandemic, including:

  • exercises demonstrating that models informed by early outbreak data can be compatible with numerous transmission scenarios, thus contributing to the debate around the UK’s early response;
  • the possible role of cross-immunity provided by endemic coronaviruses in the spread and clinical profile of SARS-CoV-2;
  • how the host’s time to seroconversion influences how much seroprevalence reflects true exposure at the population level; and
  • the effects of time since SARS-CoV-2 symptoms onset on PCR sensitivity and specificity.
Selected work